KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite 61%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,3K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
9 mag 26, 02:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite al 61% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.