KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
3.88% or Above 57.7%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,1K €
Liquidità
4,1K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
24 set 26, 13:10 UTC25 set 26, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketRegole
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 24, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 556,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 42,5K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.45%+25.5pt90%
- 5.50%83%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 53,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.07% or above99%
- 5.03% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 4.50%-18.0pt28%
- Below 4.35%-3.5pt21%
- Below 4.40%-4.0pt21%
+6 altri esiti
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per SOFR for September 24, 2026?
- Kalshi quota 3.88% or Above al 57.7% al 24 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve SOFR for September 24, 2026?
- SOFR for September 24, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 25 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato SOFR for September 24, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.