KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 3.25% 95%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 19:30 UTC1 ott 26, 11:55 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 389,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 24,4K €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.91% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.83% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,5K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+18.1pt100%
- 4.88%+58.0pt100%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,6K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%93%
- 5.45%-4.5pt76%
- 5.70%+32.0pt55%
+6 altri esiti
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per SOFR at end of Q3 2026?
- Kalshi quota Above 3.25% al 95% al 16 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve SOFR at end of Q3 2026?
- SOFR at end of Q3 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato SOFR at end of Q3 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.