KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 23 ott 2026, 11:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 3.88% 90%In testa tra 7 esiti
Exactly 3.88% 90%Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
15,9K €
Open interest
8K USD
Open interest medioSpread
24.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ott 26, 12:00 UTC23 ott 26, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Exactly 3.88%90%
Exactly 3.90%41%
Exactly 3.89%34%
Exactly 3.87%4%
3.91% or Above2%
3.85% or Below1%
Exactly 3.86%1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiUS Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 22, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Regole per ogni esito
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.