KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Exactly 3.88% (25%)
Risolto: 5 ott 2026, 13:17
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 5 ott 2026, 11:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Exactly 3.89%18%
Exactly 3.87%20%
Exactly 3.88%25%
Exactly 3.86%1%
Exactly 3.88%Vinta
Exactly 3.87%Persa
Exactly 3.89%Persa
Exactly 3.90%Persa
Exactly 3.86%Persa
3.91% or AbovePersa
3.85% or BelowPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
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PolymarketHow high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegole
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If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 2, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 2, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 2, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 2, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 2, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.