KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
3.91% or Above 62%In testa tra 7 esiti
3.91% or Above 62%Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
11,6K €
Open interest
10,4K €
Open interest medioSpread
45.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
30 set 26, 13:45 UTC1 ott 26, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 30, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Regole per ogni esito
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.