KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
637,3 €
Open interest
2,3K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
9 nov 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Stephen MillerThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPoliticoFinancial TimesMSNBCNBCABCCBSCNBCABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleBBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role he holds does not count. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Stephen Miller will cease to be White House Chief of Staff. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.