Who will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Pete Hegseth · —
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Prezzo registrato
Pete Hegseth 62.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Pete Hegseth 62.5%Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,7 €
Open interest
3,3K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
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Pete HegsethSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
9 nov 26, 21:00 UTC20 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Pete Hegseth
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketWill Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWho leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketNew Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. The first official is the one whose announcement or departure comes first after Issuance. If a single announcement covers both named officials, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of named officials covered by that announcement. Leaving means ceasing to be Secretary of State, for Marco Rubio, or Secretary of Defense, for Pete Hegseth, by resignation, firing, removal or a move to another post; a change in the name of the office is not leaving. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, a temporary leave or recusal, being considered for another position, and impeachment without removal do NOT count. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does NOT count, including a statement that he will not serve in the next administration. No officials will be added to this event. None resolves to Yes if neither named official leaves or announces he will leave his position before Jan 20, 2029. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regole per ogni esito
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marco Rubio
- If Marco Rubio is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of State after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- None
- If neither of the two officials named in this event leaves, or announces he will leave, his position after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.