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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

7.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitica6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027
Before 2027 16%-7.0%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,3 €

Liquidità

72,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

16.0% / 21.0%

Spread

31.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

14 gen 26, 22:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before 202716%

Regole

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
  • Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
  • Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
  • Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,780.31+2.02%EthereumETH$1,655.21+1.33%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.22%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.13%XRPXRP$1.11+0.05%BNBBNB$596.56+1.62%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
  • Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
  • Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
  • Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.