KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 53%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,5K €
Liquidità
1,5K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
7 set 26, 17:53 UTC8 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegole
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi quota Maura Sullivan, ≥6% al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) dovrebbe risolversi il 8 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.