KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeJulia Letlow, ≥3% 99%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
978,6 €
Liquidità
128,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
24 giu 26, 22:3027 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Julia Letlow, ≥3%99%
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If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.