KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeDarializa Avila Chevalier, ≥15% 1%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
680 €
Liquidità
17,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
16 giu 26, 19:0023 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Darializa Avila Chevalier, ≥15%1%
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If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.