KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeJohn Hickenlooper, ≥9% 2%+1.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
423,7K €
Liquidità
274,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
29 giu 26, 15:0630 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
John Hickenlooper, ≥9%2%
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If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.