KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeClaire Valdez, ≥15% 99%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
135,5 €
Liquidità
12,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
16 giu 26, 19:0017 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Claire Valdez, ≥15%99%
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If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.