KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 0.0% 99%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
86 €
Liquidità
1,3K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
6 nov 25, 15:00 UTC30 set 26, 12:25 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
KalshiCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.6% in August 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 548,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 altri esiti
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026??
- Kalshi quota Above 0.0% al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026??
- How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.