KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Raymond James 50%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
3 giu 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's public ticker be?
PolymarketWill MSFT own >3% of OpenAI's Public Benefit Corp at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
Manifold MarketsWill NVDA own >1% of OpenAI's Public Benefit Corp at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
- Joint book-running managers qualify.
- Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
- If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
- For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which banks will take OpenAI public??
- Kalshi quota Raymond James al 50% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which banks will take OpenAI public??
- Which banks will take OpenAI public? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Which banks will take OpenAI public??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.