KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
27 ago 26, 20:02 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
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KalshiWill Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- Ocean means the Atlantic, Pacific, Indian, Arctic, or Southern Ocean.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump rename any ocean before October??
- Kalshi quota No al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump rename any ocean before October??
- Will Trump rename any ocean before October? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump rename any ocean before October??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.