KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Oct 1, 2026 1%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
143,7 €
Liquidità
26K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
2 set 26, 16:04 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KalshiWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename any ocean before October?
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PolymarketWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRegole
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz to any different name after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- The action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz??
- Kalshi quota Before Oct 1, 2026 al 1% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz??
- Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz to any different name after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.