KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 13 ott 2026, 13:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
DUP · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
DUP 47%In testa tra 6 esiti
DUP 47%Qualità del mercato
25 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
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Open interest sconosciutoBid / Ask
— / —
DUPSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 51 minuti fa
In ritardo12 ott 26, 14:00 UTC5 mag 28, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · DUP
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Regole
If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Regole per ogni esito
- DUP
- If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UUP
- If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sinn Féin
- If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alliance
- If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDLP
- If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TUV
- If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
