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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Regolamentazione
  3. Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

17.0% (24h)RegolamentazioneOne-OffUS PoliticsTrade PolicyPoliticaElezione19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 20%-17.0%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,4 €

Liquidità

0,7 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

19.0% / 28.0%

Spread

47.4%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

1 giu 26, 14:001 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes20%

Regole

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

Mercati Correlati

Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

0,2 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 9%KalshiKALSHI
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

5,9 €
$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

41,8 €
Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

776,9 €
June 30: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,638.04+2.55%EthereumETH$1,650.93+2.11%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.02%XRPXRP$1.12+0.53%BNBBNB$595.11+1.92%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to: