KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
5 or more · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
5 or more 54.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
5 or more 54.5%Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
20,3 €
Open interest
22,3K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
5 or moreSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 42 minuti fa
16 set 25, 21:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 5 or more
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWill the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegole
If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Senate ParliamentarianNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representativesthe Secretary of the SenateClerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Regole per ogni esito
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
