KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeExactly 0 15%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
12,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
8.0% / 15.0%
Spread
87.5%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
16 set 25, 21:0031 dic 26, 15:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Exactly 015%
Mercati Correlati
Which bills will become law in 2026?
33,7 €FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
2,8 €7 or more: 13%KALSHI
KALSHI
Blue wave in 2026?
0 €Sì: 75%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?
0 €Senate: 50%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
249,9 €Anduril: 34%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
130,1 €Alex Padilla, more housing: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsRegole
If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
- This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
- Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
- If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
- Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.