How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
0.9 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezione2m
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Exactly 0 94.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
Exactly 0 94.3%Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,4K €
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94,3K USD
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Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
16 set 25, 21:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
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- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
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- 30m (indicativo)
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If exactly 0 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Senate ParliamentarianNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representativesthe Secretary of the SenateClerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Regole per ogni esito
- Exactly 0
- If exactly 0 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1
- If exactly 1 member of the Senate Democrats loses re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
