KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 84%
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
177,1 €
Liquidità
177,1 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
1 set 26, 14:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- any member of Congress must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.