KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
7,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.2% / 10.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
28 feb 25, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026?
KalshiWhich member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
KalshiWill Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
KalshiRegole
If any member of Congress is expelled before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026??
- Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any member of Congress is expelled before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.