Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69.3%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto10 lug 26, 02:19 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill there be a death on the moon from any cause before the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Guess if more than one sitting member of Congress no longer be alive before the end of the day December 31, 2026?
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only deaths occurring from the market posting date onward will count toward resolution.
- Deaths that occurred before the market was created (e.g., Doug LaMalfa and David Scott) are not included.
