KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 65%
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
99,6 €
Liquidità
8,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
35.0% / 68.0%
Spread
33.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
3 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear in Avengers: Secret Wars?
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film?
KalshiMarvel megamarket
Manifold MarketsWill Kraven be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026?
PolymarketMarvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
KalshiRegole
If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Variety
- Archival footage does not count.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year??
- Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.