KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAbove $140 billion 93%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
3,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
93.0% / 99.0%
Spread
6.5%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 17:001 nov 26, 13:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Above $140 billion93%
Trend del volume
$14 lug7g di dati24 lug
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If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $140 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026, as reported in the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability’s November Special Pension Briefing.
- The five State-funded retirement systems are the Teachers’ Retirement System, State Universities Retirement System, State Employees’ Retirement System, Judges’ Retirement System, and General Assembly Retirement System.
- Use the value reported for total unfunded liabilities, or an equivalent combined unfunded actuarial liability figure, for all five systems together.
- The value should be based on the actuarial value of assets / smoothed value of assets, not the market value of assets, unless CGFA does not report an actuarial/smoothed-value figure for FY2026.
- If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $145 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.