KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above $140 billion 93%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 17:00 UTC1 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Polymarket5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $42 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gov pay off X/Twitter's debt by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is the named outcome, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Illinois CGFA
- The Underlying is the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026, as reported in the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability’s November Special Pension Briefing.
- The five State-funded retirement systems are the Teachers’ Retirement System, State Universities Retirement System, State Employees’ Retirement System, Judges’ Retirement System, and General Assembly Retirement System.
- Use the value reported for total unfunded liabilities, or an equivalent combined unfunded actuarial liability figure, for all five systems together.
- The value should be based on the actuarial value of assets / smoothed value of assets, not the market value of assets, unless CGFA does not report an actuarial/smoothed-value figure for FY2026.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume totale
- 25,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3K €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 2,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3K €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Above $140 billion al 93% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Illinois pension debt in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is the named outcome, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.