Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 81.7%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto21 ago 26, 01:44 UTC31 dic 26, 17:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use the latest official value if Treasury later corrects a publication.
- Primary source: Treasury FiscalData — Debt to the Penny.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 273,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,6K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.85%-26.0pt41%
- 4.82%-37.5pt39%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6K €
- Volume 24h
- 6K €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1K €
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027??
- Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.