KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaQuesto mercato si è risolto: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Risolto: 14 lug 2026, 15:15
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Provenienza del regolamento
- Esito vigente
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Registrato
- 16 lug 2026, 07:39
- Osservazioni
- 1
- Revisioni
- 0
- Metodo
- resolution_watch
Probabilità implicita attualeBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
907,3 €
Liquidità
242,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 giorni fa
Obsoleto24 giu 26, 17:0016 lug 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Before Jan 1, 2027
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 100% | — | 907,3 € | 242,8K € | 13 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets75% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | 16 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5m
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità6 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gg fa
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gg fa$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gg fa
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gg fa$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 gg fa
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 gg fa$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 gg fa
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 gg faTrend del volume
$1.0k2 lug13g di dati14 lug
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If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.