KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoRegolato dal provider, mercato per mercato
Risolto: 14 set 2026, 23:06
Questo evento non ha un unico vincitore. Il provider ha regolato ogni mercato separatamente; ogni mercato mostra il proprio risultato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 14 set 2026, 22:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Drone37%
Trump (3+ times)65%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Terrorist / Terrorism32%
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration6%
Nuclear81%
CIA36%
Hormuz74%
Rescue / Rescued1%
Israel / Israeli1%
F-15 / F-15E63%
Ayatollah / Khamenei1%
Event does not qualifyPersa
Trump (3+ times)Persa
HormuzPersa
Oil / Gas / GasolinePersa
Israel / IsraeliPersa
Rescue / RescuedPersa
Terrorist / TerrorismPersa
F-15 / F-15EPersa
Ayatollah / KhameneiPersa
America FirstPersa
Obliterate / Obliterated / ObliterationPersa
NuclearPersa
CIAPersa
DronePersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiRegole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the 60 Minutes on Sep 13 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 60 Minutes on Sep 13 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity.