How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneAmerica Latina2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2 37.1%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
2 37.1%Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
56,3 €
Open interest
12,8K €
Open interest medioSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
28 set 26, 23:00 UTC15 dic 26, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketHow many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
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PolymarketRegole
If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying jurisdictions are the 19 states that Kamala Harris won in the 2024 presidential election: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington. The District of Columbia, which Harris also carried, is excluded from this list because it is not a state and holds no U.S. Senate or gubernatorial election, so its inclusion or exclusion cannot change the count. The count is the number of the 27 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) and 2026 gubernatorial general elections held in those 19 states, as fixed at Issuance, that are won by a nominee of the Republican Party. A candidate who wins as an independent, or under a fusion, minor-party, or write-in line without being the Republican Party's own nominee, does NOT count, even if no Republican nominee appeared on the ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.
Regole per ogni esito
- 2
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 0 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is at least 6 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.