How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2 41.8%+1.0ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidità
53,9K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+11.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
2 lug 26, 21:24 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.