How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
40.5% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione4m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale2 46%-40.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
7,8K €
Liquidità
45,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
2 lug 26, 21:243 nov 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
246%
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.