KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 89%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
22 lug 26, 02:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegole
If the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announces a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:FERC
- The decision must be adopted by the Commission, identify division as FERC’s proposed course of action, and direct PJM, Commission staff, or stakeholders to develop or submit a breakup plan.
- Final approval and implementation are not required.
- Requests for comment, proceedings that merely consider division, and statements by individual commissioners do not qualify.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
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- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
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- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 89% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026??
- Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announces a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.