KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Alibaba 74.8%In testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,5K €
Liquidità
3,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
21 set 26, 14:01 UTC5 ott 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Top Chinese AI Company this month
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketWill 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 200.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- October 31100%
- September 24+0.1pt100%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 327K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.4pt96%
- Yes+0.4pt4%
- Volume totale
- 12 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 79,4K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 37,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 78,4K €
POLYMARKETTaipei Mayor Election Winner
- Chiang Wan-an-3.5pt79.2%
- Puma Shen+4.6pt20.8%
- Kuo Hsi0%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.0pt89.9%
- Moonshot-0.4pt6.1%
- Xiaomi+1.6pt2%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?
- No-0.3pt98%
- Yes+0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 16,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 15,2K €
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 23?
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
- VALORANT Champions 2026: Winner
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th?
- Kalshi quota Alibaba al 74.8% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th dovrebbe risolversi il 5 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.