KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Alibaba 66.7%-8.0ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,2K €
Liquidità
7,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
31 ago 26, 17:3030 set 26, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercati aperti
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- USA+1.0pt97.1%
- China+2.0pt2.9%
- Volume totale
- 169,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 92,1K €
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- December 31-4.3pt93%
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+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.3pt95%
- Yes+0.3pt5%
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
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- Volume 24h
- 30,8K €
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 33°C+9.5pt42.3%
- 32°C-2.5pt23.1%
- 34°C+1.0pt19.2%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi quota Alibaba al 67% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Top Chinese AI Company this month dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.