PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 98%+1.6pt
Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
2,8K €
Liquidità
20,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
0.9% / 2.2%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
16 set 26, 21:59 UTC8 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props (add options)
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Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly endorses the People's Republic of China's claim of sovereignty over Taiwan by the end of this summit.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, Trump must make an explicit public statement affirming that Taiwan is part of China, that China has sovereignty over Taiwan, or that the United States supports China's claim to Taiwan.
- Restating the long-standing United States "One China policy", acknowledging that China holds such a position, noting that the United States does not support Taiwanese independence, or declining to say whether the United States would defend Taiwan will not qualify, as none of these constitutes an endorsement of China's claim.
- Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.