KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,8K €
Open interest
3,4K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
16 set 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jul 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?
KalshiHow will the next World War begin?
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PolymarketWill Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A joint announcement includes contemporaneous official statements from both sides confirming the same agreement to begin formal negotiations. An equivalent status must be expressly presented by Canada and the EU as the institutional arrangement contemplated by the EU's Canadian associate-membership proposal. Proposals, invitations, exploratory discussions, and general statements of intent do not qualify. Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.