KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 74%
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,2 €
Liquidità
7,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
25.0% / 27.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
29 mag 26, 19:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Democrats win IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the Senate seat, and the Governorship in Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Iowa Secretary of State
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt59.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt39.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 933,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 15,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt4%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume totale
- 28,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 533,3K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 194,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Iowa Blue Wave Combo?
- Kalshi quota No al 74% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Iowa Blue Wave Combo?
- Iowa Blue Wave Combo dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Iowa Blue Wave Combo?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Democrats win IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the Senate seat, and the Governorship in Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.