KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Magnitude of at least 7.0 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Magnitude of at least 7.0 5.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Magnitude of at least 7.0 5.5%Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
20,8K €
Open interest
17,5K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Magnitude of at least 7.0Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
15 ott 26, 20:00 UTC16 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Magnitude of at least 6.6Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Magnitude of at least 7.0
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 15, 2026?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold Markets8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiRegole
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regole per ogni esito
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.