KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Magnitude of at least 6.4 33%In testa tra 10 esiti
Magnitude of at least 6.4 33%Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
15,8K €
Open interest
11K €
Open interest medioSpread
21.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
7 ott 26, 20:00 UTC8 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Magnitude of at least 6.0Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 7, 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegole
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regole per ogni esito
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.