What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
16.0 pt (24h)One-OffWeather2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hanna 37.6%+16.0ptIn testa tra 21 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
11,7K €
Liquidità
293,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
15 mag 26, 22:00 UTC1 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHurricane Fay category?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRegole
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle+3.0pt98%
- Providence+30.0pt95%
- Boston+2.0pt72%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 163,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 155,3K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
- 80° or below79.6%
- 81° to 82°12%
- 83° to 84°4.6%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 64,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 63,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
- 69° to 70°44.3%
- 71° to 72°30.2%
- 67° to 68°17.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 38,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 37,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
- 89° to 90°40.4%
- 87° to 88°26.6%
- 91° to 92°23.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 36,3K €
KALSHIHurricane Fay category?
- Category 1 or above-4.0pt10%
- Category 5 or above+7.0pt8%
- Category 2 or above-3.0pt4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,8K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
- 33°C+11.0pt42%
- 34°C-13.5pt42%
- 35°C-3.0pt10%
+8 altri esiti
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 26?
- Where will it rain on Sep 26, 2026?
- Where will it rain this weekend (Sep 26 - Sep 27)?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 25, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 26?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 26?
- Precipitation in NYC in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Kalshi quota Hanna al 37.6% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.