KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Ariana Grande 99%In testa tra 92 esiti
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
563,9 €
Liquidità
164,3K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
1 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Spotify
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 92,2K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 101,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 65,9K €
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- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.0pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 274,6K €
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- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.9%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.8%
- Dee Valladares+9.0pt13.9%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.5pt73.3%
- Yes+8.5pt26.7%
- Volume totale
- 345,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,9K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Ariana Grande al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Who will release a new album in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Who will release a new album in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.