How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
Obbligazioni e titoli di StatoOne-Off28g
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
5.32% or below · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
5.32% or below 92.5%In testa tra 30 esiti
5.32% or below 92.5%Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
91,3 €
Open interest
102 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
5.32% or belowSpread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
1 nov 26, 04:00 UTC30 nov 26, 20:30 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 1h (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 5.32% or below
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.19% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Regole per ogni esito
- 5.32% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.33% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.33% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.34% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.31% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.32% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.3% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.31% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.29% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.30% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.28% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.29% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.27% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.28% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.26% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.27% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.25% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.26% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.24% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.25% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.23% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.24% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.22% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.23% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.21% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.22% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.2% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.21% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.19% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.20% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.18% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.19% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.17% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.18% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.16% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.17% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.15% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.16% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.14% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.15% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.13% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.14% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.12% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.13% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.11% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.12% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.1% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.11% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.09% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.10% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.08% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.09% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.07% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.36% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.37% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.35% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.36% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.34% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.35% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.