KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Above 4.93% (99%)
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 16:21 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Above 5.03%1%
Above 4.93%99%
Above 5.05%1%
Above 4.94%99%
Above 5.01%1%
Above 5.02%1%
Above 4.91%0%
Above 4.92%0%
Above 4.95%96%
Above 4.96%0%
Above 4.97%0%
Above 4.98%0%
Above 4.99%0%
Above 5.00%0%
Above 5.04%0%
Above 4.93%Vinta
Above 4.94%Persa
Above 4.95%Persa
Above 5.03%Persa
Above 5.05%Persa
Above 5.01%Persa
Above 5.02%Persa
Above 4.91%Persa
Above 4.92%Persa
Above 4.96%Persa
Above 4.97%Persa
Above 4.98%Persa
Above 4.99%Persa
Above 5.00%Persa
Above 5.04%Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pyth - 10Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above 4.93%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.94%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.95%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.03%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.05%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.01%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.02%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.91%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.91% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.92%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.96%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.97%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.98%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.99%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.00%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.04%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.