Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaEurope4m
GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 22 ago 2026, 22:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Viktor Orbán 100%In testa tra 35 esiti
Qualita del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTraders
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 20:341 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
Regole
For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency.
- Temporary absences do not count.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Keir Starmer 100% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 0 pt
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.1%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-2.0pt13.3%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 161,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 682,5K €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.2pt21%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt15%
+125 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt63.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.6pt33.3%
- Renan Santos-2.0pt3%
+29 altri esiti
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-4.0pt60%
- Ralph Norman+4.0pt31.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+1.8pt22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Marco Rubio-0.6pt11%
+125 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance+0.1pt47%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt21%
+125 altri esiti
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- What will Trump say this month?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which world leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Gemini quota Viktor Orbán al 100% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which world leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which world leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.
- Dove altro è quotato Which world leaders will leave office in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, Manifold Markets.