GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic Party 57.8%Corretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
87,1 €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
23 dic 25, 16:08 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Michigan
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PolymarketRegole
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
4 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Democratic Party è del 60%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Democratic Party 60% · 4 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini quota Democratic Party al 58% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Dove altro è quotato Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.