Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Michigan's Senate election winner?

Futuur quota Democratic Party al 69% al 9 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Michigan's Senate election winner?

Michigan's Senate election winner dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.

La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Smarkets, Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold Markets.

FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificati

Probabilità implicita attuale

Democratic Party 69%

Qualità del mercato

36 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

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Liquidità

2,3K €

Liquidità media

Trader

Commenti

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Regole

This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of Michigan, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Michigan will resolve to "Yes".
A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the Board of State Canvassers.
If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data.