PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.6M-4.8M 29.9%-8.8ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
481,9 €
Liquidità
68,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.5 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+4.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 14:13 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Michigan Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMichigan Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?
Manifold MarketsMichigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket quota 4.6M-4.8M al 30% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Michigan Senate Election: Turnout dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.