FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 85%
No 85%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
10
Commenti
1
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurWho will publicly congratulate/acknowledge Lula as the winner of the Brazil election before the end of October?
Manifold MarketsCOND. Who will publicly congratulate/acknowledge Lula as the winner of the Brazil election before the end of October?
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PolymarketRegole
This event predicts whether any minister serving in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration will be arrested at any time during calendar year 2026.
- For this market, arrest means being formally detained by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether the individual is still in office at the time of arrest.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by Brazilian judicial or law enforcement authorities.
- If any minister from Lula’s administration is formally arrested during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count.
